Monday, November 07, 2022
Climate crisis: past eight years were the eight hottest ever, says UN
The devious approach to the facts by the Green/Left is always amusing. In this case they had to go back 8 years to get an average that was above earlier years. There has been cooling in recent years so they could not trumpet any one recent year as being the hottest.
And if you look at the numbers it is a storm in a teacup. They put up great leaping graphs to create the impression that the rise has been large but that is just chartmanship. The rise looks large purely because of the large scale adopted for the Y axis.
But the numbers tell a different story. To quote the WMO: "The global mean temperature in 2022 is currently estimated to be about 1.15 [1.02 to 1.28] °C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average."
In plain language that means that in over 100 years the average temperature has risen by just a bit more than one degree. A slighter and slower rise would be hard to state with any claim to meaning. So all recent temperature movements have been in tiny fractions of one degree, meaning that they are totally trivial and unworthy of mention.
If you walked from one room to another where the temperature of the two differed by one degree, you would not notice it. A DAILY temperature change of ten whole degrees is common. And we seem to survive that! The whole Warmist fraud is to pretend that tiny numbers are large
The past eight years were the eight hottest ever recorded, a new UN report has found, indicating the world is now deep into the climate crisis. The internationally agreed 1.5C limit for global heating is now “barely within reach”, it said.
The report, by the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO), sets out how record high greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are driving sea level and ice melting to new highs and supercharging extreme weather from Pakistan to Puerto Rico.
The stark assessment was published on the opening day of the UN’s Cop27 climate summit in Egypt and as the UN secretary-general warned that “our planet is on course to reach tipping points that will make climate chaos irreversible”.
The WMO estimates that the global average temperature in 2022 will be about 1.15C above the pre-industrial average (1850-1900), meaning every year since 2016 has been one of the warmest on record.
For the past two years, the natural La Niña climate phenomenon has actually kept global temperatures lower than they would otherwise have been. The inevitable switch back to El Niño conditions will see temperatures surge even higher in future, on top of global heating.
The WMO report said:
Carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide are at record levels in the atmosphere as emissions continue. The annual increase in methane, a potent greenhouse gas, was the highest on record.
The sea level is now rising twice as fast as 30 years ago and the oceans are hotter than ever.
Records for glacier melting in the Alps were shattered in 2022, with an average of 13ft (4 metres) in height lost.
Rain – not snow – was recorded on the 3,200m-high summit of the Greenland ice sheet for the first time.
The Antarctic sea-ice area fell to its lowest level on record, almost 1m km2 below the long-term average.
“The greater the warming, the worse the impacts,” said the WMO secretary-general, Prof Petteri Taalas. “We have such high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere now that the lower 1.5C [target] of the Paris Agreement is barely within reach. It’s already too late for many glaciers [and] sea level rise is a long-term and major threat to many millions of coastal dwellers and low-lying states.”
António Guterres, UN secretary-general, said ahead of Cop27: “Emissions are still growing at record levels. That means our planet is on course for reaching tipping points that will make climate chaos irreversible. We need to move from tipping points to turning points for hope.”
A series of recent reports signalled how near the planet is to climate catastrophe, with “no credible pathway to 1.5C in place” and the current level of action set to see no fall in emissions and global temperature rise by a devastating 2.5C.
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Joe Manchin demands Biden apologize for ‘offensive and disgusting’ coal comments
West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin on Saturday demanded President Biden apologize for his “offensive and disgusting” pledge to shut down America’s coal plants — leading the White House to later reframe the tone-deaf message.
Speaking at an event in Carlsbad, Calif., Friday to promote the Democratic Party’s achievements heading into the midterms, Biden suggested coal plants would soon be extinct, the Washington Post reported.
“No one is building new coal plants, because they can’t rely on it, even if they have all the coal guaranteed for the rest of their existence of the plant. So it’s going to become a wind generation,” said Biden.
Biden is gaslighting Americans about his failed presidency
Manchin on Saturday ripped Biden’s comments as “outrageous and divorced from reality” and demanded he apologize to coal workers.
“Being cavalier about the loss of coal jobs for men and women in West Virginia and across the country who literally put their lives on the line to help build and power this country is offensive and disgusting,” the Democratic pol said.
Shortly after, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre issued a statement claiming Biden’s words were taken out of context and that the president has no desire to put even more Americans out of work.
“President Biden knows that the men and women of coal country built this nation: they powered its steel mills and factories, kept its homes and schools and offices warm,” Jean-Pierre said. “They made this the most productive and powerful nation on Earth.”
The schism between both powerhouse Democrats is unwelcome news heading into Election Day where the party is in danger lose control of House. Both Biden and Manchin are up for re-election in two years.
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America’s Oil Supply Problem Worse Than You Think, Industry Leader Warns
America’s oil supply problem is worse than most predictions, Ezra Yacob, president of EOG Resources Inc., told analysts during a third-quarter earnings call. Oil production in the United States will maintain a low growth rate in 2023, he said.
The number of oil rigs, frac spreads, and workers indicated a low growth rate in the near future, he said.
Also, fewer companies have the capacity to produce oil after the pandemic and the companies are more cautious about investing more in this sector.
“I do think coming out of the pandemic, we’ve had a consolidation across the industry. … You’ve been left with less companies, and those companies that have the size, the scale, balance sheets, things of that nature to be able to continue to drill and operate,” he said. “And the majority of those companies are drilling and investing in a way that’s more disciplined than what was in favor prior to the pandemic.”
Yacob believes the trend will not end soon. “And quite frankly, a lot of those things that I’ve talked about are not necessarily transitory in nature. Some of these things will really continue into 2023 as well,” he explained.
EOG holds a view more pessimistic than many other estimations, Yacob acknowledged. EOG was known as Enron Oil & Gas before it separated from Enron in 1999.
Biden to Talk With Oil Companies
Oil production has been recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic since August 2020. However, the pace of oil production is relatively slow, though oil prices increased fast after the pandemic.
Oil production still hasn’t reached the level before the pandemic.
Industry insiders and experts warned that companies are hesitant to make long-term investments in the fuel industry because of uncertainty in Washington and hostile attitudes toward the industry by the Biden administration.
Low domestic oil production in America and oil production cuts by OPEC+ caused oil prices to stay high and drove gas prices up.
Meanwhile, President Joe Biden has blamed the oil companies and gas stations for high gas prices. Biden said that he’s going to talk with the oil companies directly soon.
“I’m working like hell to deal with the energy prices. I’m going to have a little, as they say, come-to-the-Lord talk with the oil companies pretty soon,” he told the audience during an event in California on Friday.
White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre confirmed in October that the Biden administration is in touch with the oil companies.
“The Department of Energy has been in regular contact and has held meetings … with these different companies, and they’ll continue to have those conversations. Members of our team at the White House have also been in close contact,” she said on Oct. 17.
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Green Britain: Biggest energy producer threatens to move overseas to avoid windfall tax
Britain’s biggest oil and gas producer says its shareholders are urging it to invest its money elsewhere as a result of the North Sea windfall tax and the possible extension of the levy.
Harbour Energy warned the government that any further increase in the energy profits levy could jeopardise its planned investments in Britain, as it disclosed that it expected to pay $400 million in windfall tax this year, taking its total UK tax bill to $900 million.
Rishi Sunak imposed the 25 per cent windfall levy as chancellor in May, increasing the effective tax rate in the North Sea from 40 to 65 per cent, and said that it could remain in place until 2025 unless oil and gas prices fell back to historically normal levels.
As prime minister he is now planning to increase the tax to 30 per cent and keep it in place until 2028 to help to fill a £50 billion hole in Britain’s public finances.
Linda Cook, Harbour’s chief executive, said: “The recently enacted UK energy profits levy [EPL] and speculation about further fiscal changes have created uncertainty for independent oil and gas companies like Harbour. As a result, evaluating expected returns from long-term investments has become more difficult and investors are advocating for geographic diversification.”
Harbour produced 194,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the North Sea in the first nine months of this year, accounting for 94 per cent of its total production and ranking it as easily the biggest producer in British waters. Harbour is looking at developing projects in Mexico and Indonesia and is also thought to be eyeing potential acquisitions in southeast Asia and the Gulf of Mexico.
In Britain it has interests in two proposed carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects that could entail billions of pounds of investment. Cook added: “While we fully recognise the significant challenge in the UK to put public finances on a sustainable footing, we urge the government to carefully consider the consequences of any increase in or extension of the EPL.
“At a time when oil and gas producers are being asked to invest more to help ensure the UK’s energy security and are considering longer-term, material investments in CCS, additional taxes would run the risk of undermining our ability to do either.”
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Jim Hansen and his twin
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