Sunday, August 26, 2018

The latest global warming fraud

There a lot of versions of the graph below online but I could find none that included calibrations. It's a thoroughly dishonest piece of work as, for any graph to be interpretable, it has to include calibrations.  I have in fact never before seen a graph without calibrations.

It would ruin the Warmist story if calibrations were included because what is not mentioned is that the differences in temperature between the time periods illustrated are in mostly in hundredths of one degree only, which is practically meaningless.

There HAS been overall warming over the last century or so but it has been only in isolated spurts and is in total less than one degree Celsius. IF such warming continues it would cause as little trouble as the warming we have had so far. It is trivial

IS IT a work of art in a gallery? A chart? It’s neither and both, and it shows a big change in Australia.

IT LOOKS like a piece of art. Or maybe a very brightly coloured barcode. Or even a duvet cover. But the striped image is a visual representation of Australia’s average temperature each year over the last century.

A climate scientist from the UK has released a series of images that depict the warmest and coldest temperatures since records began places all over the globe.

University of Reading climate scientist Professor Ed Hawkins calls the pieces “warming stripes”. He has created them for parts of England, Germany, Toronto, Australia and the world as a whole.

“Each stripe represents the temperature of a single year, ordered from the earliest available data to now,” Prof Hawkins on the website Climate Lab Book.

The coldest years recorded are a dark blue and the hottest a deep red with everything in between a different shade depending on whether it’s over or under the long-term average.

If the average temperatures regularly fluctuated from hot to cold, you could expect to see red and blue stripes relatively evenly distributed.

In the graph for Vienna, for example, which covers a period from 1775 — 2017, the first half of the image seems to be fairly random with lots of reds and blues. But in recent years, the Vienna chart is mostly red denoting hot years.

For the stripes showing the annual global average temperatures, it’s a smooth transition from dark blue to dark red; from record cold years to record hot years.

There’s less data to go on for Australia as records only go so far back. But there’s still a century or so to compare.

Prof Hawkins took Bureau of Meteorology data from 1910 — 2017: “The colour scale goes from 20.7°C (dark blue) to 23.0°C (dark red),” he said.

The lowest annual temperature was recorded in 1917. The highset, more than 1C above the overall average, was in 2013.

In the last 20 years in Australia, only three years have seen annual temperatures dip below average. And during those years it’s dipped only slightly below the line.

But many of the most recent years that have seen above average temperatures that have soared over the line.


Nancy Pelosi Mocks Coal Power In U.S., Then Drops A Threat

House Minority Leader mocked coal power plants in America on Wednesday, and not-so-subtly threatened to forbid more coal-fired plants in the United States.

During a discussion on energy policy at the Public Policy Institute of California, Pelosi began by pretending to be religious and spoke about preserving God’s creation on Earth.

After mentioning how she fought off Democrats when the nation’s capital was fueled by coal, she said “with all due respect to West Virginia,” that’s never going to happen again.

“And it really is a moral issue if you believe as I do that this is God’s creation [and] we have to be good stewards of it. We have evangelicals and others with us — er, some, those who believe in God’s creation. So, in any case this was a big thing for us. I had to fight some Democrats. Senator Byrd had a coal powered plan fueling the Capitol, you know… I … that’s gonna go, with all due respect to West Virginia we’re not gonna have a coal power plant floating around.”

Pelosi’s comments are eerily similar to many made by Hillary Clinton during the 2016 presidential election, where the former secretary of state made it clear to many that she wanted the coal industry to wither away.

“We’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business,” Clinton shouted at a March 2016 town hall in Ohio.

Pelosi’s comments on Wednesday were reminiscent of that, where she all-but vowed to do everything she can to prevent coal power plants from moving to the capital and, presumably, other parts of the nation.

Ironically, one day before she mocked coal power plants, workers, and West Virginians, the White House announced plans to scale back Obama-era rules stifling coal-fired plants in America.

The Trump administration plans to scale back Obama’s regulations on coal power plants. Former President Barack Obama’s war on coal was catastrophic, but the industry has been booming since Trump took office — which has helped ignite the already booming economy.

Aside from Pelosi’s insulting remarks on Wednesday, this isn’t the first time the out-of-touch California Democrat has made headlines for making embarrassing comments.

Last month, Pelosi came under fire for referring to the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001 — which led to roughly 3,000 innocent Americans being killed — as an “incident.”

Before that, she stuttered herself into embarrassment, suffered a brain freeze, and struggled to remember Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s name, forcing an aide to finish her sentence and help her.

Pelosi has stuttered several times in recent interviews, where she was unable to cite simple Bible verses, got busted for lying about the economy under Trump, and defended MS-13 gang members after the president called them “animals.”

While many conservatives are thrilled that this bizarrely behaving woman continues to be the face of the Democratic Party, Pelosi continues to make the perfect case for why we need congressional term limits.

And with the crucial midterm elections less than 70 days away, she has resorted to mocking coal plants and workers. This is what the Democratic Party represents.


Weepy Gov. Inslee Wants To Sue Trump For Air Pollution Deaths That May Or May Not Occur

Washington Gov. Jay Inslee threatened to sue the Trump administration for rolling back Obama-era regulations on coal plants, going so far as to label President Donald Trump as an “unindicted co-conspirator” in air pollution deaths that haven’t, and may not, happen.

“Even under the rosiest assumptions by his own agencies, would conclude that this would cause the premature death of 1,400 people a year, every year,” Inslee, a Democrat, said at a press conference Wednesday. “That’s the population of Kittitas, Washington, suffering premature death every year.”

“I think it is fair to say that Donald Trump is an unindicted co-conspirator in the premature death of 1,400 people every year if this misbegotten plan went into place,” Inslee said. “We find this unacceptable.”

Inslee is riding a wave of liberal criticism of the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) rule popularized by The New York Times — keeping coal plants open longer would result in 1,400 more deaths from air pollution every year.

It’s also not true EPA’s “rosiest assumptions” predict 1,400 premature deaths a year from fine particulate matter or PM2.5. It’s actually the upper range of estimated PM2.5-induced deaths based on a 2012 study — only one of a range of estimates based on different assumptions.

The Times’ report, though, only presented one upper estimate of future air pollution deaths, not giving readers the full context of EPA’s figures. The Times’ reported figure is also based on public health modeling that’s come under increased scrutiny in recent years.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed to put ACE in place of the Clean Power Plan, which was imposed by the Obama administration in 2015. The Clean Power Plan never went into effect, however, because the U.S. Supreme Court blocked its implementation in early 2016.

EPA’s regulatory analysis showed billions of dollars would be saved, but it also gave a range of public health costs, including premature deaths in 2030 from coal plant pollution.

Estimates of premature deaths, however, are based on two studies for which the underlying data was never made public, which Republicans have labeled “secret science.”

Estimates of premature deaths from air pollution are also just that, estimates based on epidemiological studies looking for strong statistical relationships between PM2.5 levels and reported deaths.

EPA says PM2.5 can cause lung disease and premature death, which is certainly what most studies claim, but new research has called into question that relationship.

EPA is also looking 15 years into the future, and cannot take into account future innovations or technologies that could reduce premature deaths from air pollution.

There’s also a lot of uncertainty around estimated deaths at low levels of PM2.5, but EPA’s estimate of 1,400 deaths assumes there’s no safe level of fine particulates.

Democrats and environmentalists opposed ACE, saying the Clean Power Plan was necessary to fight global warming and improve air quality. Virtually all opponents of ACE cited the NYTimes’ report of increased air pollution deaths.

Inslee promised legal action against the Trump administration if they finalize the ACE rule. Other Democratic states and environmentalists are likely to follow suit.

“And if you want to know why this is a terrible idea take a look out your window because we are choking on dirty air, and he would give us dirtier air to breathe,” Inslee said.

However, the “dirty air” hovering over Washington is the product of wildfires raging along the West Coast. More than one million acres have been consumed by wildfires in California, Oregon, and Washington this year.

So, far from being the product of coal-burning or Trump, it’s the years of poor forest management by federal and state officials that allowed dead trees and debris to pile up.

Todd Myers, the director of the Center for Environment at the Washington Policy Center, pointed out Inslee’s administration has not met its own “forest treatment” targets. In fact, they’ve failed so badly, the administration hasn’t updated its efforts since 2015.


Tesla has Mere 14% of Cars Pass Inspection

Newly leaked internal documents show that Elon Musk’s Tesla continues to face production woes, with only 14 percent of cars passing first inspection, as opposed to industry targets of 80 percent.

Business Insider recently reported on leaked internal Tesla documents which show that the company had to rework more than 4,300 of the 5,000 Model 3 vehicles that it manufactured in the first week of June, when the company announced that they had reached their self-imposed production milestone. Tesla reportedly reworked 4,300 cars during the week of June 23 with each car taking an average of 37 minutes to repair.

Car manufacturers refer to cars that exit the manufacturing process without requiring any rework as part of the production lines “first pass yield,” (FPY) this means that during the week in which Tesla claimed that they had successfully produced 5,000 Model 3 vehicles, only 700 cars could truly leave the factory. In simpler terms — only 14 percent of Model 3’s produced by Tesla that week required no additional work before being sent to customers. In the same week, Tesla CEO Elon Musk reportedly told workers to stop performing a critical brake test as the company rushed to produce cars in a tent they had erected in a field outside their production facility.

Ron Harbour, a consultant at Oliver Wyman and the founder of  “The Harbour Report,” a worldwide guide to manufacturing, commented on Tesla’s first pass yield rate stating: “A competitive plant will pass 80%-plus vehicles that do not require repair. I would say the average plant is about a 65-80% range.” Harbour also stated that the amount of rework required per vehicle can affect the production plant’s overall productivity saying: “It’s a direct impact on their labor productivity if they have to add additional labor hours for repair.”

A representative of Tesla commented on their low FPY rate stating that many cars only require minor reworking: “Our goal is to produce a perfect car for every customer. In order to ensure the highest quality, we review every vehicle for even the smallest refinement before it leaves the factory. Dedicated inspection teams track every car throughout every shop in the assembly line, and every vehicle is then subjected to an additional quality-control process towards the end of the line. And all of this happens before a vehicle leaves the factory and is delivered to a customer.” The Tesla representative also claimed that the number of labor hours per Model 3 vehicle produced had decreased by approximately 30 percent since last quarter.


The Warmist Arctic obsession again

A few days ago:

With the Arctic full of ice, they had to work pretty hard to find something to lie about.




Preserving the graphics:  Most graphics on this site are hotlinked from elsewhere.  But hotlinked graphics sometimes have only a short life -- as little as a week in some cases.  After that they no longer come up.  From January 2011 on, therefore, I have posted a monthly copy of everything on this blog to a separate site where I can host text and graphics together -- which should make the graphics available even if they are no longer coming up on this site.  See  here or here


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