Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Are Temperatures and Ocean Levels Rising Dangerously? Not Really

There are two widely held climate-change beliefs that are simply not accurate. The first is that there has been a statistically significant warming trend in the U.S. over the last 20 years. The second is that average ocean levels are rising alarmingly due to man-made global warming. Neither of these perspectives is true; yet both remain important, nonetheless, since both are loaded with very expensive public policy implications.

To refute the first view, we turn to data generated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for the relevant years under discussion. The table below reports the average mean temperature in the continental U.S. for the years 1998 through 2019*:

1998 54.6 degrees
1999 54.5 degrees
2000 54.0 degrees
2001 54.3 degrees
2002 53.9 degrees
2003 53.7 degrees
2004 53.5 degrees
2005 54 degrees
2006 54.9 degrees
2007 54.2 degrees
2008 53.0 degrees
2009 53.1 degrees
2010 53.8 degrees
2011 53.8 degrees
2012 55.3 degrees
2013 52.4 degrees
2014 52.6 degrees
2015 54.4 degrees
2016 54.9 degrees
2017 54.6 degrees
2018 53.5 degrees
2019 52.7 degrees

*National Climate Report – Annual 2019

It is apparent from the data that there has been no consistent warming trend in the U.S. over the last 2 decades; average mean temperatures (daytime and nighttime) have been slightly higher in some years and slightly lower in other years. On balance–and contrary to mountains of uninformed social and political commentary—annual temperatures on average in the U.S. were no higher in 2019 than they were in 1998.

The second widely accepted climate view—based on wild speculations from some op/ed writers and partisan politicians–is that average sea levels are increasing dangerously and rationalize an immediate governmental response. But as we shall demonstrate below, this perspective is simply not accurate.

There is a wide scientific consensus (based on satellite laser altimeter readings since 1993) that the rate of increase in overall sea levels has been approximately .12 inches per year.

To put that increase in perspective, the average sea level nine years from now (in 2029) is likely to be approximately one inch higher than it is now (2020). One inch is roughly the distance from the tip of your finger to the first knuckle. Even by the turn of the next century (in 2100), average ocean levels (at that rate of increase) should be only a foot or so higher than they are at present.

None of this sounds particularly alarming for the general society and little of it can justify any draconian regulations or costly infrastructure investments. The exception might be for very low- lying ocean communities or for properties (nuclear power plants) that, if flooded, would present a wide-ranging risk to the general population. But even here there is no reason for immediate panic. Since ocean levels are rising in small, discrete marginal increments, private and public decision makers would have reasonable amounts of time to prepare, adjust and invest (in flood abatement measures, etc.) if required.

But are sea levels actually rising at all? Empirical evidence of any substantial increases taken from land-based measurements has been ambiguous. This suggests to some scientists that laser and tidal-based measurements of ocean levels over time have not been particularly accurate.

For example, Professor Niles-Axel Morner (Stockholm University) is infamous in climate circles for arguing–based on his actual study of sea levels in the Fiji Islands–that “there are no traces of any present rise in sea levels; on the contrary, full stability.” And while Morner’s views are controversial, he has at least supplied peer reviewed empirical evidence to substantiate his nihilist position on the sea-level increase hypothesis.

The world has many important societal problems and only a limited amount of resources to address them. What we don’t need are overly dramatic climate-change claims that are unsubstantiated and arrive attached to expensive public policies that, if enacted, would fundamentally alter the foundations of the U.S. economic system.

Biden’s ‘Climate Czar’ Says under Biden, Great Reset ‘Will Happen’ and with ‘Greater Intensity’ Than People Think

Joe Biden has officially announced that John Kerry, a failed presidential candidate and longtime DC swamp creature, will be his “climate czar,” assuming President Trump’s legal challenges fail to overturn the 2020 election.

Just a reminder: Kerry, who constantly lectures the hoi polloi about the “existential threat of climate change,” was an abysmal failure as President Obama’s second secretary of state. (This is the man who brought us the ill-fated Paris Climate Accords and the hapless Iran nuclear deal.)

It’s also worth noting Kerry is one of the biggest hypocrites in the world when it comes to climate change. If Kerry were so worried about the dire threats of climate change, including rising sea levels, why did he purchase an $11.75 million waterfront estate on the coast of Martha’s Vineyard in 2017? Moreover, why does Kerry continually globetrot aboard on carbon-dioxide-spewing private jets and yachts?

Oh, right, like most global warming fearmongers, including his buddy Al Gore, the rules don’t apply for them–only for those of us regular folks, people like you and me.

If Kerry’s hypocrisy weren’t bad enough, consider that Kerry is one of the foremost advocates of the radical, globalist sham known as the “Great Reset.”

Kerry, while speaking at Great Reset virtual event hosted by the World Economic Forum, said, “We can’t push a button and go back to the way things were. … We are a long way off from being able to go back to any kind of normal. … And the normal was a crisis. The normal itself was not working. What has happened is COVID has accelerated everything, so all the forces and pressures that were pushing into crisis over the social contract are now exacerbated and exacerbated at a time when the world is in many ways coming apart. ”

He added, “I can’t think of a moment where it has been more critical for governments that have leadership that brings and convenes people, government isn’t going to make all the decisions that we have to make. But government is the great convener.”

With Kerry at the helm, the Paris Climate Agreement, which the United States left under President Trump, is the just the beginning.

Kerry elaborated on his grand plans, “This is a big moment, and the World Economic Forum, the CEO capacity of the World Economic Forum is going to have to really play a front and center role in defining the reset in a way nobody misinterprets as just taking us back to the way things were. But in having to prepare us for dealing with global climate change, with this massive inequity from globalization, through the failure of this contract to protect disenfranchised people, all of which is being laid bare as a consequence of COVID. And in addition, in our country as a consequence of some police actions that lit a fuse in the younger generation and I think will produce massive social change in our country.”

While speaking on another WEF panel, Kerry again expressed his support for the Great Reset and even acknowledged that Joe Biden would also help to make it happen.

After being asked by the panel host whether Great Reseters expect too much from Joe Biden, Kerry said, “It [the Great Reset] will happen. And I think it will happen with greater speed and with greater intensity than a lot of people might imagine.”

He then elaborated, “In effect, the citizens of the United States have just done a Great Reset. We’ve done a Great Reset. And it was a record level of voting.”

Kerry later added, “Government just has to find a way to move faster, and to address more of the real concerns of its citizens. Or there will be an increasing backlash. What I think we’ve won is a reprieve. And I think, therefore, that the notion of a ‘reset’ is more important than ever before. I personally believe, Borge, that we’re at the dawn of an extremely exciting time.”

This is scary stuff. The Great Reset would upend capitalism and install socialistic policies on a worldwide level, as well as put the ruling class in charge of most economic activity.

Under the guise of fighting against climate change and COVID-19, the Great Reset, which is gaining increasingly more traction every day, would usher in a new world, one focused on wealth redistribution and giving massive amounts of power to the global ruling class. We must do everything in our power to stop it. If we fail, America might never be the same.




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