Friday, January 21, 2011

Warmists undermined by their own graph

Romm is featuring this graph from “Evangelical Christian” John Cook.

Note that temperatures rose as fast from 1910 to 1940 as they did from 1970 to 2000.

This is solid evidence that the warming is not due to CO2, which only rose 10 ppm from 1910 to 1940. If you use the latest climate science 30 year lag rule, their problem gets even worse – because the 1910-1940 rise was due to the tiny rise in CO2 from before the automobile was invented.


Note also the chartmanship involved above. What looks like a dizzying rise in temperature is no such thing. The graph is scaled in tenths of one degree so the rise in both periods is in fact trivial

Nazism was a Green dream

A small excerpt below from an unexpurgated history of environmentalism in Germany. The author starts with a note about how mainstream historians try to downplay the organic connection between Nazism and environmentalism -- an attempt that repeatedly founders on the facts:
"The German countryside must be preserved under all circumstances, for it is and has forever been the source of the strength and greatness of the German people."

"Man should never fall into the misconception that he has really risen to be lord and master of Nature. rather he must understand the fundamental necessity of the rule of Nature and comprehend how even his own existence is subordinated to these laws of eternal struggle." -- Adolph Hitler

Dominick allocates about 10% of his text to this period. The sole chapter allocated to this era concludes: "The argument developed here has tried to reduce the damage done to the reputation of the conservation campaign by its highly visible ties to Nazism."

The precise overlap between the Nazi Party and the conservation movement is unknown because: "The memberships of the major conservation groups from the 1930s seem to have been lost or destroyed."

Not to worry because: "I (Dominick) have compiled a sample of 18 leaders of the Nature protection movement" from which he infers the extent of the overlap. Dominick does not show how he drew this list. He does not show the list. Nevertheless, he gloats "the surviving records indicate that only one joined the Nazi Party before 1933."

Nine from his list joined the Nazi Party after 1933. One tried to join but was rejected.

(Dominick forgets there were many German fascist organizations before 1933. This oversight has been used to make ultra-green Walter Darre appear as a Johnny-cum-lately to the movement when in fact he joined the fascist militia, Steel Helmet, in 1919.)

Dominick's main defence of German conservationism is that the movement was an amalgam of political currents of which "volkisch" [racist] conservationists were but one. He concedes: "The volkisch [racist] variety of Nature protection was centrally and durably aligned with Nazism."

He also concedes: "This volkisch kind of Nature protection predominated in Germany by the 1930s."

Moreover, he readily admits that during the 1920s most German conservationists promoted national regeneration, pan-Germanism, reactionary aesthetics, and racism. They were anti-communist, anti-materialist, anti-modernist and anti-technology. They had a romantic vision of the peasantry and they spewed "blood-and-soil" rhetoric. Dominick again: "In the Weimar and Nazi periods, the belief that unspoiled Nature kept the nation pure infected the majority of Germany's conservationists."

In the 1920s Nature-protectionists demanded that ethnic Germans in the territories lost after WWI, as well as Germans from Switzerland, Austria and faraway Estonia, be united in a single nation.The founders of Westphalia's Homeland Preservation League insisted their focus should not be architecture or landscape but Race. A Nature Park Society publication paralleled the impact of pollution on German forests and waters to the influx of an "unwashed brood of Croats and Pollacks."

(Dominick's case is weaker than it seems. His other main current of conservationism, the ecology/pantheism current, is said to lack intrinsic ties to Nazism. This is untrue. Top Nazis were raving ecologists and ecology's founder, Haeckel, exhibited clear proto-Nazi tendencies.)

The Nazis venerated Wilhelm Riehl, whose "blood-and-soil" Natural History of the German People enjoyed four editions during the Third Reich, including a special 1944 edition for the Wehrmacht. Among those favouring blood-and-soil were Darre, master of Nazi agitation in the agricultural sector, and Alfred Rosenberg, the Party's chief theoretician and director of the Fighting League for German Culture. Rosenberg's list of Party-endorsed books included the works of Riehl, Schoenichen's The Magic of the Wilderness in German Lands and a dozen other books praising peasants and excoriating cities.

The Nazi Party newspaper featured environmental stories in 35% of its issues, sometimes on the front page. Every time an environmental issue was discussed, the editors took the side of the preservationists. The April 5, 1930 issue expressed outrage that French occupation troops in the Saar intended to log "one of the largest unbroken forest areas of Germany. a true nature park." The paper's deep anti-capitalism also permeated the writings of Nature-protectionists; appearing prominently in the inaugural issue Nature and Homeland which sermonized: ".the unthinking drive for speculative riches without conscience or feeling must not be allowed to combine with the newly acquired technical powers to make the Earth uninhabitable."

In 1920 the leading bird lovers' magazine squawked: "The individual must again understand that he is inseparably linked to the prosperity of the whole: the vermin who will not understand that must be so far repressed that they no longer can poison the entire organism."

This anti-capitalism had nothing to do with communism. In 1907 Rudorff preached that protecting natural environments counteracted the "ideals of the red international." His disciples in the 1920s contended preservationism inoculated the Volk against Bolshevism.

Nazis reiterated Rudorff's denunciations of aesthetic degeneration whether in the form of jazz music or the sleek glass and steel of Bauhaus architecture. The Party joined conservationist clubs in opposing a memorial to Hermann Lons in the Luneburg Heath because of its Bauhaus style.

The Nazis were enmeshed in the animal protection movement. Their Fuhrer, a vegetarian, declared himself a resolute enemy of cruelty to animals.

The early writings of Walter Schoenichen, Conwentz's successor at the Prussian Government Centre, "exhibited the volkisch rhetoric about race and nation that merged so easily with National Socialism." In Methods and Techniques of Natural History Education (1926) he wrote: "There is no doubt that a racial-hygienic collapse threatens our volk." The book encouraged racially valuable women to reproduce and discouraged breeding by degenerates.

In 1928, when he became editor of Nature Protection, he changed its subtitle to Friends of the German Homeland. His application for Nazi Party membership was approved in February 1933 (hence was submitted before January 30, 1933). Nature Protection's post-January 1933 cover sported a photo of children marching with a swastika flag. Inside, Schoenichen's "The German People must be Cleansed - and the German Countryside" explored the unbridgeable gulf between Aryan and non-Aryan relationships to Nature. He contended Nature-protection was about politics not birds; moreover he claimed elite conservationists had been saying this for years.

His Nature Protection in the Third Reich (1934) praises the deep Aryan bond to Nature. He prayed someday Germany would lead a European Nature-protection movement. He led conservation clubs into the Nazi's Reich League for Volk Character and Homeland. By early 1934, the League for Homeland-protection, Bavarian Conservation League, and League for Bird Protection had joined; their pre-1933 leaders remained in place. (The Bavarian Conservation League later welcomed Nazi Gaulitier Adolf Wagner as their overseer.)

Dr. Werner Lindner, Schultze-Naumburg's successor atop the League for Homeland-protection, preached anti-modernism long before 1933. He delayed joining the Nazi Party until 1938 but openly celebrated Nazism in 1933. At the founding meeting of the Reich League for Volk Character and Homeland he expressed hope the new regime would repudiate the Weimar Republic's materialistic approach to Nature and he denounced capitalism for violating "the laws of the household of Nature."

Alwin Seifert designed the autobahn - a marriage of technology and Nature. During construction he insisted ten trees be planted for each one cut down. Topsoil removed during landscaping was painstakingly saved. Autobahns avoided straight lines to adhere to the land's natural curves. After joining the Nazi Party he recruited a legion of "landscape advocates."

His water obsession compelled him to memo Deputy Fuhrer Hess criticizing the Labour Front for ignoring ecological laws in its projects affecting waterways. Not satisfied with the response, he went public with his warnings of desiccation at the 1936 Nature Protection Conference in a speech entitled "The Conversion of Germany into a Steppe." Exploiting images of dust clouds over the American prairie, he claimed similar devastation awaited Germany. His theories, always couched in Nazi terminology, generated hysteria.

The zealously pro-Nazi League for Bird Protection's 1933 Annual Report crowed: "A miracle has occurred. Germany has pulled itself together. Joyously we stand behind the Fuhrer, vowing to use our entire strength for his high goal."

Subsequent Annual Reports celebrated the rearmament, reacquisition of the Saar, and the Anschluss. They parroted Nazi propaganda and exploited their official endorsement to gobble up rival clubs.

Immediately after January, 1933 the Bavarian Conservation League proclaimed: "No time has been so favourable for our work as the present one under the swastika banner of the national government.converting the love of Nature into the great love of nation and Fatherland.Nature determines race and all expressions of the race. Therefore above all Nature must be preserved in its individuality.. The German man is not German without the German countryside."

This enthusiasm was justified. More was done to advance conservationism in the 18 months following January 1933 than was done in the entire Weimar era. In February 1933 Hitler's cabinet quashed a proposed railway in the Bode Valley for being a "profanation of a holy relic of our forefathers." Days later Prussia issued detailed animal and plant protection ordinances.

In November 1933 the Nazis passed radical cruelty to animal prohibitions. In 1934 the powerful Labour Front and the League for Bird Protection co-sponsored a week-long conference to instil Nature-protectionism into Labour Front personnel. The Reich's 1934 hunting law was "the most progressive in the world at the time." In 1934 billboards in the countryside were banned.The municipal park system doubled in size by mid-1934. (The Nazis later established an unprecedented number of nature preserves.)

Goering, the Reich-Master of the Hunt and the Forest, used the 100,000 acre nature reserve around his estate to foster endangered flora and fauna. A conservation journal quoted him saying: "Deep and understanding feeling for Nature is the foundation of every culture."

The Imperial Conservation Law (1935) gave Goering oversight over all conservation agencies. The law fulfilled conservationist's dreams. Not only did it protect plants, animals, nature-monuments, and preserves, it extended protection to any: ".landscape in free Nature whose preservation on account of rarity, beauty, distinctiveness or an account of scientific, ethnic, forest, or hunting significance lies in the general interest."

The law required governments at all levels to consult Nature-protectionists before undertaking any measure that might alter the countryside on public or private property.


Skepticism from India: Paper questions another IPCC claim

India has once again challenged the UN's climate science body - the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) --- through a new scientific paper. The Environment ministry sponsored paper says that human induced global warming is much less than what the R K Pachauri headed IPCC had said.

The cause is reduced impact of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) on formulation of low clouds over earth in the last 150 years, says a paper by U R Rao, former chairman of Indian Space Research Organisation, released by Environment minister Jairam Ramesh.
The GCRs are the ones that enter solar system from outside, mostly from exploding of stars, and help in forming low-level clouds over the earth. The theory is that the solar magnetic field deflects GCRs, thereby impacting low-level cloud formation.

Analyzing the data between 1960 and 2005, Rao found that lesser GCRs were reaching the earth due to increase in solar magnetic field and thereby leading to increase in global warming.

"Consequently the contribution of increased CO2 emission to be observed global warming of 0.75 degree Celsius would only be 0.42 degree Celsius, considerably less than what predicted by IPCC," the paper said to be published in Indian Journal Current Science had said. This is about 44 % less than what IPCC had said.

Ramesh in 2009 had released a similar scientific paper saying that the IPCC's claim that most Himalayan glaciers will melt by 2035 was wrong. A few months later, after a review the IPCC regretted the error. If Ramesh latest bid gets globally recognition, it can alter the rules of UN run climate negotiations of 200 nations.

Impact of GCRs on global warming had been highly controversial since 1998, when Henrik Svensmark of Danish National Space Center said it was causing global warming. A decade later a joint European study debunked the claim, saying there was no coorelation.

V Ramanathan of US based Scripps Institute of Oceanography at University of California said the Rao's paper strengthens the case for greenhouse a primary driver for global warming. "The observed rapid warming trends during the last 40 years cannot be accounted for the trends in GCRs," he said, in his comments on Rao's paper.

"I just want to expand scientific debate on impact of non-Green House Gases on climate change," Ramesh said, when asked whether he was again challenging the IPCC. "Science is all about raising questions."

International climate science is mainly western driven and collaborates the view of the rich world that gases such as Carbon Dioxide (CO2) are the main contributor for global warming. Any scientific work challenging the view has been debunked as work of a sceptic.

"Climate science is much more complex than attributing everything to CO2," said Subodh Verma, climate change advisor in the Environment ministry.

And, its first impact has come from IPCC chairperson R K Pachauri, who has told the government, that impact of GCRs on global warming will be studied in depth in the fifth assessment report to be published in 2013-14. In its earlier four assessment reports, IPCC had not studied the impact of GCRs in detail.


Pathetic Warmist still fretting about a warm 2003, while ignoring the spate of recent deaths from cold

From the time global warming emerged on the public agenda in the late 1980s, it was regarded as a grave but distant future threat and, crucially, one that could be neutralized if humanity acted quickly enough to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

I shared these assumptions until my October 2005 interview with David King shattered them. The science adviser told me that in fact global warming had already triggered outright climate change, and had done so a hundred years sooner than even the most concerned scientists had expected. One early manifestation, according to three British scientists writing in Nature, was the record heat wave that brutalized Europe in the summer of 2003. King cited government statistics indicating that the heat had killed 31,000 people, making it "the deadliest disaster in modern European history."

Yet this turned out to be an underestimate. An epidemiological study conducted in 2008 for the European Union—reported here for the first time—concluded that the 2003 heat wave had caused at least 71,449 excess deaths, a toll considerably higher than the United States suffered during the Vietnam War.

As a new father, most alarming to me was King's next point: this newly triggered climate change is bound to intensify for the rest of my daughter's life. The inertia of the climate system—that is, the laws of physics and chemistry—guarantee that average global temperatures will keep rising for decades to come, no matter how fervently humanity might embrace solar energy, electric vehicles and other options for reducing emissions. And as temperatures rise, this global warming will unleash still more climate change: deeper droughts, stronger storms, wilder wildfires and so on, as well as faster sea level rise.

"No, no, it's not too late," King hurried to reply when I asked if this paradigm shift means all is lost. But the early arrival of climate change does transform the nature of the problem, as paradigm shifts tend to do. To wit, humanity now faces a double imperative. The traditional goal of climate policy—to reduce global warming—has now become more urgent than ever, for if global temperature rise isn't halted soon, it could gain too much momentum ever to reverse. Yet at the same time, humanity has no choice but "to adapt to the impacts that are in the pipeline" over the coming decades, said King. In short, we have to live through global warming even as we try to reverse it.


If you read the whole article, it is full of anger and the certainty of the fanatic. Like the Green/Left generally, he NEEDS his anger. He needs to think that he can help save the world and that evil men are blocking him

An age of energy abundance is upon us

Supplies of natural gas could last more than 250 years if Asian and European economies follow the U.S. unconventional reserves, the IEA said.

The abundance of shale gas and other forms of so-called unconventional gas discovered in the United States prompted a global rush to explore for the new resource.

The International Energy Agency said Australia is taking the lead in the push toward unconventional gas, though China, India and Indonesia are close behind. European companies are taking preliminary steps to unlock unconventional gas as are other regions.

"Production of 'unconventional' gas in the U.S. has rocketed in the past few years, going beyond even the most optimistic forecasts," said Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a gas analyst at the IEA. "It is no wonder that its success has sparked such international interest."

Shale gas production in the United States is booming and the IEA estimates that unconventional gas makes up around 12 percent of the global supply.

Global supplies of natural gas could last for another 130 years at current consumption rates. That time frame could double with unconventional gas, the IEA said.

"(D)espite the many uncertainties associated with production, countries are still prepared to take risks and invest time and money in exploration and production, because of the potential long-term benefits," Corbeau said.


China is swimming in the stuff

Chinese geologists have detected "super-thick" oil and gas-bearing stratums in the northern part of the South China Sea and identified 38 offshore oil and gas-bearing basins, a senior official said on Saturday.

The outskirts of Songliao Basin in Northeast China, Yin'e Basin in North China and Qiangtang Basin on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau have also been found to have rich oil and gas resources, Wang Min, vice-minister of land and resources, said at a national conference in Beijing.

In addition, 192.7 billion tons of coal resources have been found in Northwest China's Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region, and four 10,000-ton sandstone-type uranium mines have been located in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, he said. Wang said these latest discoveries, particularly those at sea, have given direction for China's future resource exploration. Conducting more geological inspections at the above regions has been set as one of the ministry's major working tasks this year.

Comprehensive geological and environmental inspections will be conducted at key offshore areas such as the southern region of Yellow Sea, the northern part of the South China Sea, East China's Liaodong Bay and regions near South China's Hainan Island, according to the ministry.

Wang said the country has also made a breakthrough in locating new energy resources. Natural gas hydrate has been found for the first time in the northern region of the South China Sea and frozen-soil areas at Qilian Mountain.

And a 2.46-million-ton lithium carbonate mine has been located in Southwest China's Tibet autonomous region, which will reduce the cost of lithium production and help with the country's new energy industry.

Due to China's rapid economic growth in the past 10 years, the country's energy consumption has been growing rapidly and become more dependent on imports. Right now, China has become the biggest consumer of coal, steel, alumina, copper and cement. More than half of the country's petroleum and iron consumption, about 70 percent of its copper consumption and 64 percent of sylvite consumption now rely on imports, according to figures released by the Ministry of Land and Recourses on Saturday.

Wang said thanks to the efforts of the geologists, new resources detected in the past 10 years accounted for about half of all resources found in the past half century, and the amount of new resources found each year has surpassed their annual consumption. For instance, by the end of last year, the available reserves of iron and aluminum increased by 41 percent and 39 percent compared with the levels in 1999.

However, China will still experience resource bottlenecks in the future, Wang said. "As a big developing country, we must make more efforts in exploring domestic supplies to ensure our energy security," Wang said.

China in the next five years will also have closer international cooperation on geological work and set up a global mining resource information database to help Chinese enterprises better survey and explore overseas resources, the ministry said, without giving more details.



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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Now would be a perfect time to republish my postcard format chart of post Renaissance thermometer records that indeed show that recent sky high warming trends are indeed mere chartsmanship. Their graphs would have to be ceiling height if they extended them back to when the thermometer was actually invented in the 1600s. Odd as hell that the Greeks or Chinese evidently lacked thermometers, but I guess a hot day is just a hot day when you consider the important things in life. At least they both invented the wheel, unlike those called "indigenous" people.