Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Copernicus tracks the ozone hole closure of 2021 – one of the longest lived Antarctic ozone holes on record

That pesky hole is getting bigger, not smaller -- and lasting longer

Scientists from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service confirm that the 2021 Antarctic ozone hole has almost reached its end, following a season with a considerably large and prolonged ozone hole. Its closure will occur only a few days earlier than in 2020, which was the longest lived since 1979.

The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS), implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission with funding from the European Union, reports that the Antarctic ozone hole has almost reached its end. Similar to last year’s season, the ozone hole in 2021 will be one of the largest and longest-living ones on record, coming to a close later than 95% of all tracked ozone holes since 1979.

Vincent-Henri Peuch, Director of Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service at ECMWF, comments: “Both the 2020 and 2021 Antarctic ozone holes have been rather large and exceptionally long-lived.


Snowfall EVERY DAY Atop Kilimanjaro – Where Is Al Gore?

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In his 2006 Hollywood movie “An Inconvenient Truth,” Al Gore solemnly warns that “Within the decade there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro.” A decade and a half later, Al Gore’s glum prediction is not aging well. In fact, a look at today’s 7-day forecast for Kilimanjaro shows snow falling atop the mountain every day for the next week. Moreover, high temperatures atop the mountain will remain at least 10 degrees below zero every day atop the mountain.

Abundant snow atop Kilimanjaro is nothing unusual. Not only does snow still fall atop Kilimanjaro, the mountain has had snow cover every single day since Gore made his movie. In fact, so much snow fell in 2018 that there were record increases in snow depth on the mountain.

The author of the Just Kilimanjaro website recently reported that the entire mountain peak is covered with snow:

“The writer of this article observed during this week’s flight closer to the mountain, recovering snow piled up, covering the whole mountain peak.”

If Facebook and Big Tech are going to censor and ban global warming videos that they claim contain misinformation and factual errors, then Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” should be banned from the Internet.


Indian PM Modi speaks out against Western climate goals

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s explosive comments are not surprising to anyone who has been closely observing the opposition of India and China to western pressure for adopting climate polices contrary to the two countries’ economic objectives.

“The colonial mindset hasn’t gone,” said Modi at a Constitution Day event. “We are seeing from developed nations that the path that made them developed is being closed for developing nations… If we talk about absolute cumulative (carbon) emissions, rich nations have emitted 15 times more from 1850 till now… The per capita emission is also 11 times more in the U.S. and the EU.”

Senior ministers in the past have called out the colonial nature of climate politics. However, this is the first that Modi has publicly recalled in this context, the colonialism of the 18th and 19th centuries when Western countries denied basic rights and autonomy to India and other colonies.

Carbon imperialism is no myth. The economic success of modern western society is a fruit of the industrial era driven by fossil fuels. Even in the 21st century, all the major developed economies rely on these fuels for primary energy needs. To deny the same growth for developing countries is hypocrisy tinged with the colonialism under which fates of billions were decided by leaders of the industrialized West.

“Attempts are made to shut the path and resources for developing nations through which developed nations reached where they are today,” said Modi. “In past decades, a web of different terminologies was spun for this. But the aim has always been one to stop the progress of developing nations. The issue of environment is also being attempted to be hijacked for this purpose. We saw an example of this in the recent COP26 Summit…. Today no nation exists as a colony to any other nation. (That) doesn’t mean that (the) colonial mindset ended… Still, India is lectured on environmental conservation.”

Modi also called out Indian activists, policy makers and organizations espousing an anti-fossil stance. Blaming them for hindering progress, he said, “Sadly, we also have such people in our country who stall the development of the nation in the name of freedom of expression without understanding the aspirations of the nation. Such people don’t bear the brunt, but those mothers who get no electricity for their children bear it.”

Modi is right. Hundreds of millions in India have no access to uninterrupted electricity. What people in the developed nations take for granted is still a luxury for millions here. Mothers do manual work for hours, children lack electricity to study for their exams, and industries lose millions of dollars in damaged equipment from unreliable power. Electricity disruption even impedes medical procedures in rural hospitals. Without reliable electricity, India cannot achieve fast-paced economic growth necessary for raising 300 million people out of poverty.

Meanwhile, Indians have some of the lowest levels of per capita carbon emissions. India’s per capita emission was measured at just 1.91 tons a year (2016) while that of the U.S. was 15.52 and Canada’s, 18.58.

Besides, there is no evidence that global CO2 emissions can cause catastrophic warming. Apocalyptic predictions are projections from computer models that have proven to be faulty. These models (used by U.N. climate alarmists and others) exaggerate warming by many times as they are designed to be ultra-sensitive to human CO2 emissions. So, there is no good reason for India to give in to climate pressure from the West.

It took a long time for the leader of 1.3 billion people to call out the reeking hypocrisy of Western elites and their never-ending attempts to dictate energy policy to countries in which they are not elected. Nevertheless, Modi’s bold step to tag western leaders with a “colonialist mindset” marks an important turn in global climate politics.


Gutless North Sea oil rules will destroy Britain’s energy independence

Say what you like about this government but they have become world leaders in saying one thing and doing another: lockdown by stealth, covert cheese and wine parties while the rest of us stay at home or are prevented from seeing loved ones, and now the latest thing: a gutless plan to wind down the North Sea oil industry and another nail in the coffin of what remains of Britain’s energy security.

As if that wasn’t bad enough, energy minister Greg Hands is attempting to dress the whole thing up as a climate-friendly scheme to help the sector with some nonsense about how it is evidence that the government remains pro-oil and gas. You couldn’t make this stuff up.

The clue is in the name: a new “climate change compatibility checkpoint” that all new applications to explore for fossil fuels in the North Sea will be subjected to before approval is, or isn’t, granted. How precisely this will “open the door” to a flurry of new fields being developed, as Hands protests, is anyone’s guess.

If the government doesn’t want further development in the North Sea then it should have the courage to say so, instead of introducing yet more hurdles that will either discourage investment, or worse, simply prevent it because they are impossible to clear.

But the very notion that net-zero-obsessed ministers are about to pave the way for a new era of exploration in the region is in itself laughable. Recent evidence alone would tell you that is emphatically not the case.

First the regulator rejected Shell’s plans to develop the Jackdaw field east of Aberdeen, which is estimated to hold gas resources equivalent to between 120m and 250m barrels, on the basis of environmental grounds yet to be made public.

Then Shell was also forced to pull out of plans to extract oil from the Cambo field off the coast of Shetland after fierce opposition from green campaigners, and even the threat of legal action from Greenpeace against the government if exploration went ahead.

Hands says he is “aware” that “homegrown oil and gas is more climate-friendly than imports” as if that alone is proof of the government’s support for North Sea producers but this is little more than an attempt to spin away the reality.

Shell’s difficulties tell us everything there is to know about the direction of travel and there’s nothing positive about it for the people employed there, for the Scottish economy, or indeed the UK’s energy security.

There are two give away lines in the white paper proposal: future licences will be granted “only on the basis that they are compatible with the UK’s climate change objectives”, which means any found to “undermine the UK’s climate goals or ability to reach net zero” will be blocked.

As the Department for Business itself acknowledges, this means that “an additional layer of scrutiny” will be applied to future licences, alongside an “environmental assessment” carried out by the Offshore Petroleum Regulator for Environment and Decommission, and a “net zero impact assessment” undertaken by the Oil and Gas Authority as part of the consent process for new drilling.

How that is proof that the government is “supporting the industry in the transition to a lower carbon future, while also working to achieve the UK’s net zero commitment” is anyone’s guess.

On the contrary, the likelihood is that any steps to wind down the North Sea by stealth will rob Britain of its energy independence. Furthermore, by making us even more reliant on imports from unsavoury foreign regimes like Russia and Saudi Arabia, it will do nothing to help us reach net zero.

In short, yet another spectacular own goal from Westminster as it barrels blindly ahead with a green agenda with scant regard for the economic and social consequences.




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