Monday, April 17, 2023



A new super-careful estimate of a global temperature trend based on the satellite record

Some very sophisticated Chinese mathematicians have been at work. I reproduce their conclusions only below. The point to note is that they found a warming trend over the last 40 years of only fourteen hundredths of one degree per decade. I quote:

"the total tropospheric temperature trend derived from TMT was 0.142 ± 0.045 K/decade from 1979 to 2021".

That's about as tiny a trend as you can imagine and is certainly no cause for alarm. Global warming is totally trivial. It's to laugh at. The globe HAS been warming but at a not remotely catastrophic level. Whether ANY warming will take place in the future is unknown. Claims that it will are mere speculation based on a very dubious hypothesis of continuity.


Mid-Tropospheric Layer Temperature Record Derived From Satellite Microwave Sounder Observations With Backward Merging Approach

Cheng-Zhi Zou, Hui Xu, Xianjun Hao, Qian Liu

9 Conclusion

We have developed STAR V5.0 TMT time series for the period from late 1978 to present using a backward merging approach. The RTMT time series during 2002–present based on AMSU-A and ATMS observations onboard satellites in stable sun-synchronous orbits was used as the reference and earlier satellites before NOAA-19 were adjusted to RTMT in the backward merging. Brightness temperatures from NOAA-10 to NOAA-19 were recalibrated first before they were merged with RTMT and a semi-physical model was developed for diurnal drift adjustment. Adjustments of channel frequency differences between MSU and AMSU-A companion channels and instrument blackbody warm target effects were also conducted on observed radiances. The recalibration and adjustments for diurnal drift and warm target effects had effectively removed satellite bias drifts and resulted in inter-consistent satellite radiance data with small inter-satellite difference trends and standard deviations. Major differences in STAR V5.0 from the existing data sets is that recalibration has removed large spurious warming drifts in NOAA-11, NOAA-12, and NOAA-14 and a large cooling drift in NOAA-15 observations. The removal of the spurious warming drifts in NOAA-11 to NOAA-14 resulted in the warming trends in STAR V5.0 during 1979–2021 much smaller than the existing versions of the STAR and RSS data sets but close to the latest version of the UAH data set. After removal of the lower-stratospheric cooling effect, the total tropospheric temperature trend derived from TMT was 0.142 ± 0.045 K/decade from 1979 to 2021. This total trend was separated by two distinct periods with trends during the latest half period were nearly doubled the earlier half period over ocean and the globe, showing accelerating tropospheric warming. The estimated acceleration rate of the tropospheric warming was about 0.029–0.39 K decade−2 over ocean and the globe.

The STAR V5.0 data set. also include TUT, TLS and TLT time series. Similar backward merging approaches and diurnal adjustment algorithms as used in the TMT development were applied to TUT and TLS channels for their development. TLT is obtained using regressions of TMT, TUT, and TLS following approaches in Spencer et al. (2017).

The STAR V5.0 CDR for TLT, TMT, TUT, and TLS is publicly accessible from the STAR website with a URL address: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/mscat/products.php . Plans are also being developed to transition the STAR V5.0 data set to NOAA/NCEI for operational archiving and distribution for user applications.

The cut-off dates for MSU and AMSU-A observations used in STAR V5.0 from all earlier satellites were before the end of 2018. Future update of STAR V5.0 will only need update of the ATMS observations in RTMT. The update of the monthly RTMT has been made every month for ATMS observations onboard SNPP and NOAA-20. Future JPSS satellites such as JPSS-2 are planned to be launched onto the same stable orbits as in SNPP and NOAA-20. When ATMS observations from these satellites are available, they will be simply added to RTMT without the need for diurnal drift adjustment. Such a STAR V5.0 data set is expected to extend to the next 20 years for climate change monitoring and assessment in the atmospheric temperatures.

***************************************************

Los Angeles Is Sitting on $1B for Water Storage

The old Greenie hatred of dams. CA is the last place to build new ones

As the West faces extended droughts and water shortages, Los Angeles officials thought they would get ahead of the curve by investing about $1 billion into water storage solutions. Now, four years later, the droughts are intensifying while that money sits unspent, according to the according to The New York Times.

The Times reports that California used to have a state-of-the-art flood control system, with dams and channels to control flooding from heavy storms. However, more frequent and intense droughts are creating a greater demand for stored water, but the systems are not designed to hold back much water, meaning tens of billions of gallons are flowing back into the Pacific Ocean.

To remedy this, LA County began collecting money to increase the storage capacity of their flood control systems. Over four years, it has collected around $1 billion, but has yet to spend most of it.

Regarding the slow pace of expenditures and lack of plans, the Times writes that, “The era of great dam building passed long ago, owing largely to the multifronted environmental wars California is fighting and the county has been slow to adopt alternatives.”

Now, bureaucrats are proposing spending $300 million per year on hundreds of small water capture projects that, in 30 to 50 years, could hold as much water as just building a new mountain dam. Experts are already warning, however, that this “greener” approach “will be expensive and may deliver less than expected,” despite the project not even starting yet.

LA County could use its taxpayers’ money to improve the quality of life of its citizens, but thanks to a strong environmental lobby and a slow-moving bureaucracy, residents are left with less money and less water.

****************************************************

Activist warns global push to add bugs to the menu is part of alarming trend

One activist, however, warns the trend is more sinister than an alternative protein source.

“I think that the push for insect eating is just a compliance test because our politicians know that when they control the food, they control the people,” Dutch political activist Eva Vlaardingerbroek said on “Tucker Carlson Tonight” Friday.

Previewing a new season of “Tucker Carlson Originals” on Fox Nation, Vlaardingerbroek provided insight into the bug food industry which she argued will “influence the food supply worldwide.”

“The fact that we, the second-largest exporter of agricultural products in the world, our nation with such a rich farming history, is now cracking down on its farms and opening insect factories should be of no surprise to you. This is not something that is just going to affect the food supply of the Netherlands. Like I said, we’re the second-largest exporter of agricultural products in the world after America. So this will influence the food supply worldwide. And we’ve spoken to farmers who said, well, this could lead to actual starvation if we’re not careful,” she said.

However, political activist Eva Vlaardingerbroek said on “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” “the push for insect eating is just a compliance test because our politicians know that when they control the food, they control the people.”

At the World Economic Forum, voices like founder and executive chairman Klaus Schwab made climate change a focal point of the conversations surrounding the global economy and future policies.

Warnings like “an extinction of large parts of our global population” were shared from center stage, and bugs have gradually been championed as one solution to the climate crisis.

Professor Arnold Van Huis at Wageningen University argued that it is “absolutely necessary” to adopt bugs into the food system. “I think there is no other way,” he said on the Fox Nation show. “It’s the only way to go, but it will take some time.”

The trend has caught the eye of celebrities and influencers including big names like actress Nicole Kidman.

Emerging on the scene are also chefs and culinary experts trying to make the bugs more appetizing.

Chef Joseph Yoon is an Edible Foods Ambassador for Brooklyn Bugs works to create recipes with the creepy crawlers. “We work to raise awareness and appreciation for sustainable forms of protein,” Yoon said on “Let Them Eat Bugs.”

“How can we sustainably feed the growing population around the world? And it doesn’t suggest that we want to get rid of anything. How do we add something to our diets and maybe look towards the past for solutions for the future? They’re incredibly nutritious. They’re sustainable, but most importantly, they can be prepared absolutely deliciously.”

Carlson tried some of Yoon’s creations including a chocolate-covered cricket, cricket caramel corn and even a cricket burger on “Tucker Carlson Tonight” Friday.

While new recipes may be making the trend more easily digestible, critics like Vlaardingerbroek remain skeptical of the big bug business.

“They’re telling us that it’s good for the climate, that this is the way that we can save the planet and that that little steak that you have on your plate that gives you some joy in life is what actually ruins the world. And of course, none of that is true,” she said.

Vlaardingerbroek, who also appears in “Tucker Carlson Originals: Let Them Eat Bugs,” argued that while bugs may not inherently be an issue to bring in to a diet, it is the politics behind the insects that raise red flags.

“Nobody’s being asked. And I think that that’s the point. Nobody really inherently wants to eat bugs,” she told Carlson.

With the transformation of our food system and diet away from meat to insects, there are also ramifications on farmers which the Netherlands has experienced firsthand.

“We’ve had massive protests. So our farmers’ protests that you and I have been speaking about plenty of times now and that also have been featured in this documentary, they’ve been very successful,” she said.

“We actually had elections just now in the Netherlands where… actually the largest party was the Farmers Party. So the Dutch people don’t want to be eating insects. We understand that a traditional profession such as farming that we have been good at for centuries on end is not the cause of a modern-day so-called crisis such as climate change.”

The fear is whether global elites are using the bug industry and climate change as another method of controlling the global population.

“It’s all a fantasy, it’s all a new religion. And it’s a scary religion because, of course, once the people are scared, the people in power can do whatever they want,” Dutch politician Wybren Van Haga said on “Let Them Eat Bugs.”

“So we have to be fearful and scared for COVID, for nitrogen, for carbon dioxide, for Putin. We have to be scared for everything, and meanwhile these people who are in power, now they do whatever they want.”

***********************************************

Biden Admin Affirms Trump-Era Decision to Export Natural Gas From Alaska

The Department of Energy (DOE) on Thursday affirmed a Trump-era decision to export liquified natural gas (LNG) from a facility in Alaska.

Under the Trump administration, in 2020, a company called Alaska LNG was authorized to export LNG to any country with which the United States has not entered into a free trade agreement (FTA).

In a supplemental record of decision (pdf) issued by the department on April 13, Biden administration officials reaffirmed the original authorization in 2020. However, they also amended the project to include more restrictions intended to protect the environment.

The decision on April 13 comes after the Sierra Club, an organization that seeks to “fight for environmental and social justice,” in September 2020 filed a Request for Rehearing over the matter.

The department had agreed to the request to look further into the project’s environmental impacts, after which it would either reaffirm, modify, or set aside the Trump-era authorization.

“Upon review, DOE finds that the environmental impacts presented … are not sufficient to alter DOE’s determination … that exports of LNG from the proposed Alaska LNG Project to non-FTA countries are not inconsistent with the public interest,” the department stated.

One Change

As such, the department affirmed the original Trump-era order but with one modification that was an amendment the Sierra Club recommended: Alaska LNG is required to certify each month that the natural gas produced for export in LNG form “did not result in the venting of byproduct carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere, unless required for emergency, maintenance, or operational exigencies and in compliance with the FERC Order for the Alaska LNG Project.”

“DOE believes that this venting prohibition will reduce emissions of [greenhouse gases] from the Alaska LNG Project beyond what may have occurred under the Alaska LNG Order.”

Otherwise, other parts of the authorization remain the same.

The LNG pipeline and export project was estimated in June 2020 to cost $38.7 billion. It was first proposed in 2014 by the Alaska Gasline Development Corp (AGDC), which was tasked with maximizing the state’s natural gas reserves by the Alaskan legislature, and is leading the project.

Construction of the Alaska LNG project was authorized in May 2020 by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). According to plans, the project would include a liquefaction facility in the Nikiski area of the Kenai Peninsula in south-central Alaska, a natural gas treatment plant on the North Slope of Alaska to produce natural gas, and a 800-mile pipeline to carry the natural gas from the North Slope to the liquefaction facility.

AGDC has been seeking buyers for exports, but it has not reached a final vestment decision on whether to start construction, an Energy Department spokesperson told the Anchorage Daily News.

“Alaska LNG is authorized to export this LNG in a volume equivalent to 929 billion cubic feet per year (Bcf/yr) of natural gas (2.55 Bcf per day), by vessel from a liquefaction facility … in the Nikiski area of the Kenai Peninsula in south central Alaska,” reads the DOE’s document.

Altogether, Alaska LNG “is authorized to export LNG from the Project for a total of 33 years—a 30-year export term, with an additional three-year Make-Up Period to export any LNG that it was unable to export during the 30-year export term.”

The latest move comes a month after the Biden administration approved the $8 billion Willow oil field development project to allow the company ConocoPhillips to drill for oil over three decades.

It also comes a year after the Biden administration expanded exports of LNG to Europe. President Joe Biden announced an agreement in March 2022 that committed the U.S. LNG industry to supply 15 billion cubic meters (bcm) more of LNG to Europe for the remainder of the year.

***************************************

My other blogs. Main ones below

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM )

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://australian-politics.blogspot.com (AUSTRALIAN POLITICS)

http://snorphty.blogspot.com/ (TONGUE-TIED)

http://jonjayray.com/blogall.html More blogs

*****************************************

No comments: