MORE "SCIENTIFIC" DISHONESTY
Some things are sacred to scientists: Facts, data, quantitative analysis, and
Nature magazine, long recognized as the world's most prestigious science periodical.
Lately, many have begun to wonder if Jayson Blair has a new job as their science editor. On page 616 of the April 8 issue,
Nature published an article using a technique that they said, on page 593
of the same issue, was "oversold", was inappropriately influencing policymakers, and was "misunderstood by those in search of immediate results." The technique is called "regional climate modeling," which attempts to simulate the effects of global warming over areas the size of, say, the United States.
As reported by Quirin Schiermeier, scientists at a Lund, Sweden climate conference, "admitted privately that the immediate benefits of regional climate modeling have been oversold in exercises such as the Clinton administration's US regional climate assessment, which sought to evaluate the impact of climate change on each part of the country." Then, 23 pages later,
Nature published an alarming and completely misleading article predicting the melting of the entire Greenland ice cap in 1,000 years, thanks to pernicious human economic activity, i.e., global warming, using a regional climate projection.
The lower 48 states comprise 2 percent of the globe. Schiermeier reported that the consensus of scientists is that climate models on such a small scale are inappropriate for policy purposes. Greenland covers 0.4 percent of the planet. If the models are no good over the U.S., they're worse over Greenland. Yet the authors "conclude that the Greenland ice-sheet is likely to be eliminated by anthropogenic climate change unless much more substantial emission reductions are made than those envisaged by the IPCC [a United Nations Panel]." The Greenland paper, by Jonathan Gregory and two others, was profoundly misleading, offering any climate alarmist an incredible sound bite attributable to our most prestigious science publication.....
It's not the first time, either. Just as scientists "admitted privately" that the models don't work, so have prestigious environmental journalists told me privately that they are concerned about
Nature's handling of global warming stories, both in terms of increasingly shoddy reviews and timing clearly designed to influence policy. No one has forgotten that in 1996
Nature featured a paper, right before the most important U.N. conference leading to the Kyoto protocol, "proving" that models forecasting disastrous warming were right. The paper was subsequently found to have used data selectively to generate its dire result.
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